Verona have traditionally struggled away to Salernitana. Their defeat by the hosts earlier this season highlights the difficulties they always face in these encounters. Nevertheless, we believe they might be able to salvage a draw this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-2.05) 
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