Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Virtus Verona had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Virtus Verona win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.04) 
