SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 68.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Salford City |
13.38% ( 0.37) | 18.11% ( 0.62) | 68.51% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( -2.13) | 37.87% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( -2.31) | 60.12% ( 2.31) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.73% ( -0.86) | 40.26% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( -0.79) | 76.89% ( 0.79) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.93% ( -0.8) | 10.07% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.82% ( -1.87) | 33.18% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.38% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.11% | 0-2 @ 10.68% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.62)0-3 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 4.69% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 4.79% Total : 68.51% |
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