SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hereford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Hereford United |
35.81% ( 0.01) | 24.55% ( 0) | 39.64% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( -0.01) | 43.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( -0.01) | 66.04% ( 0.01) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0) | 23.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% | 58.24% ( 0) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.01) | 22.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( -0.01) | 55.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.64% |
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