SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | Draw | Lyon |
18.88% ( 0.15) | 21.47% ( 0.12) | 59.64% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -0.28) | 42.69% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.28) | 65.09% ( 0.28) |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0) | 36.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% ( -0) | 73.11% ( 0) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( -0.17) | 13.93% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.6% ( -0.34) | 41.39% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 18.88% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.83% 1-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 59.65% |
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