SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
37.09% ( 0.42) | 23.66% ( 0.05) | 39.25% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.23) | 39.19% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.24) | 61.52% ( 0.23) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.11) | 21.3% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.17) | 54.24% ( -0.17) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.32) | 20.26% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.51) | 52.6% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.25% |
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