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Coupe de France | Final
May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PL

Lyon
vs.
PSG

 

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Lyon 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG's pair of Ligue 1 successes over Lyon in 2023-24 may have crossed into drubbing territory, but Sage's revitalised men are sure to give Enrique's troops an exceptional run for their money on Saturday, especially with Les Parisiens losing their way a touch in the dying embers of the term. However, with several well-rested troops coming back into the XI, Coupe de France title number 15 should still come Les Parisiens way, as Mbappe packs one last medal into his Spain-bound suitcase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 37.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win is 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.65%).

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
37.09% (0.423 0.42) 23.66% (0.055 0.05) 39.25% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (-0.229 -0.23)39.19% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (-0.237 -0.24)61.52% (0.234 0.23)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.107 0.11)21.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.167 0.17)54.24% (-0.169 -0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.318 -0.32)20.26% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.511 -0.51)52.6% (0.508 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 37.09%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.25%
    Draw 23.65%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-4 Lyon
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Brest
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-2 PSG
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-3 Toulouse
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-3 Le Havre
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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