Clermont did produce a crucial victory to keep their survival hopes alive when they met Reims recently, but Les Lanciers saw any momentum halted in another defeat last time out, while Lyon travel with plenty of confidence in fine form, and we see Sage's free-scoring side having too much for their hosts and prevailing on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
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