Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 8.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.