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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.17%) and 3-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
40.35% ( -0.02) | 22.07% ( -0.01) | 37.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 69.06% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.97% ( 0.07) | 31.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.08) | 52.42% ( -0.08) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0.03) | 16.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( 0.04) | 45.9% ( -0.04) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( 0.05) | 17.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( 0.07) | 47.95% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 37.58% |
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