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Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 5, 2024 at 9.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
BR

Western Sydney
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Pierias (64')
Kittel (56'), Priestman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aldred (32'), Hore (77')
Aldred (90'), Freke (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawBrisbane Roar
47.74% (-0.289 -0.29) 22.39% (0.171 0.17) 29.87% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 64.85% (-0.562 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.64% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)35.36% (0.769 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (-0.856 -0.86)57.39% (0.859 0.86)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.384 -0.38)15.28% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (-0.73 -0.73)43.98% (0.732 0.73)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.312 -0.31)23.45% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.453 -0.45)57.46% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 47.74%
    Brisbane Roar 29.88%
    Draw 22.39%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.88%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydney
Tuesday, March 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, March 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-4 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, February 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 17 at 10.45am in Australian A-League


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