Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.32%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
