Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.68%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
