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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 17, 2021 at 1.30am UK
 
CR

Suriname
1 - 2
Costa Rica

Vlijter (52')
Haps (30'), Donk (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Campbell (58'), Borges (59')
Alvarado Brown (43'), Calvo (66'), Alberto Guzman Perez (73'), Waston (87')
Calvo (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.68%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
SurinameDrawCosta Rica
51.5%28.32%20.17%
Both teams to score 38.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.09%65.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.48%84.52%
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77%61.23%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.51%48.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.41%83.59%
Score Analysis
    Suriname 51.49%
    Costa Rica 20.17%
    Draw 28.32%
SurinameDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 17%
2-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 8.26%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 3.69%
4-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 51.49%
0-0 @ 12.68%
1-1 @ 12.31%
2-2 @ 2.99%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.17%

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