Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.