Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.