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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
P

AEK Athens
1 - 1
PAOK

Ansarifard (23')
Nedelcearu (40'), Krsticic (45+1'), Shakhov (77'), Livaja (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Murg (89')
Michailidis (55')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and PAOK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
AEK AthensDrawPAOK
29.35%29.13%41.52%
Both teams to score 43.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.79%63.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.38%82.62%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79%38.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03%74.97%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84%66.16%
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 29.34%
    PAOK 41.52%
    Draw 29.12%
AEK AthensDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 29.34%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 13.8%
0-2 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-3 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 41.52%


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