Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.