Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.