Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.