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Europa League | Playoffs
Oct 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
W

AEK Athens
2 - 1
Wolfsburg

Simoes (64'), Ansarifard (90+4')
Insua (16'), Simoes (89'), Livaja (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mehmedi (45+1')
Schlager (19'), Lacroix (22'), Glasner (75')
Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between AEK Athens and Wolfsburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
AEK AthensDrawWolfsburg
32.85%25.87%41.28%
Both teams to score 54.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86%50.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9%72.1%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15%28.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29%64.71%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68%58.31%
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 32.85%
    Wolfsburg 41.28%
    Draw 25.86%
AEK AthensDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.28%


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