Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest PAS Giannina win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEL Larissa would win this match.
