Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 40.05%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 27.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (6.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.7%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.