Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.