SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
58.01% ( 0.25) | 25.12% ( 0.18) | 16.87% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 40.7% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.35% ( -1.13) | 59.64% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.03% ( -0.87) | 79.96% ( 0.87) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.35) | 20.6% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.56) | 53.15% ( 0.55) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.26% ( -1.23) | 48.74% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.23% ( -0.9) | 83.77% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 15.86% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.09% Total : 58% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.87% |
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