Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
