Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.