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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4
Jun 28, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
P

Aris
0 - 2
PAOK


Matilla (33'), Tonso (35'), Sasha (40'), Ba (57')
Delizisis (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Varela (36'), Swiderski (45+4')
Mauricio (4'), Matos (15'), Tzolis (65'), Paschalakis (87')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and PAOK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawPAOK
27.99%26.45%45.56%
Both teams to score 49.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56%54.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19%75.81%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76%71.24%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99%58.01%
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 27.99%
    PAOK 45.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.99%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 11.8%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 8.46%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.56%


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