Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.