Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.