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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 10
Nov 29, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
AA

Asteras
1 - 2
AEK Athens

Barrales (44')
Barrales (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Livaja (13'), Ansarifard (58')
Insua (32'), Krsticic (90+1')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawAEK Athens
32.31%29.12%38.56%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.51%62.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.9%82.09%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43%35.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67%72.33%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59%31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.78%
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 32.3%
    AEK Athens 38.56%
    Draw 29.12%
Asteras TripolisDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 11.54%
2-1 @ 6.91%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 12.93%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 38.56%


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