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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 11
Dec 6, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
2 - 0
Asteras

Tzolis (64'), Zivkovic (70' pen.)
Giannoulis (27'), Swiderski (59'), Schwab (73'), Wague (76'), Zivkovic (82'), Murg (90+3')
El Kaddouri (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (23'), Suarez (38'), Fernandez (66'), Pasalidis (69'), Tasoulis (81')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Asteras Tripolis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawAsteras Tripolis
64.78%21.02%14.19%
Both teams to score 46.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98%49.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9%71.1%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61%14.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71%42.29%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.24%81.76%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 64.77%
    Asteras Tripolis 14.19%
    Draw 21.02%
PAOKDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 12.45%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 6.24%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-0 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 64.77%
1-1 @ 9.96%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 5.14%
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 14.19%

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