Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 34.11%. A win for Atromitos had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.77%) and 1-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Atromitos win was 1-0 (14.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
