Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
