Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.01%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.