Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lamia win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Ionikos had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lamia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ionikos win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lamia would win this match.