Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.96%) and 3-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.