Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Ionikos had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Ionikos win was 0-1 (12.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.