Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lamia win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lamia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lamia would win this match.