Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.
