Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
