Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.