Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
