Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.09%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
