Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.