Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.