Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.