Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest PAS Giannina win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.