Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAS Giannina win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAS Giannina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAS Giannina would win this match.