Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest PAS Giannina win was 0-1 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Apollon Smyrni in this match.