Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.1%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.22%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.