Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and Kisvarda.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.
| Result |
| Debrecen | Draw | Varda SE |
40.82% ( 0.03) | 27.25% ( -0) | 31.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0) |
| 44.05% ( 0) | 55.95% ( -0) |
| 22.95% ( 0) | 77.05% ( -0) |
| 73.07% ( 0.02) | 26.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.74% ( 0.02) | 62.26% ( -0.02) |
| 67.6% ( -0.01) | 32.4% ( 0.02) |
