Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.
Result | ||
Debrecen | Draw | Zalaegerszegi TE |
46.09% ( -0.73) | 25.22% ( 0.23) | 28.69% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% ( -0.68) | 49.08% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( -0.62) | 71.16% ( 0.63) |
Debrecen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( -0.6) | 21.31% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( -0.94) | 54.26% ( 0.94) |
Zalaegerszegi TE Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( 0.02) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( 0.02) | 67.51% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Debrecen | Draw | Zalaegerszegi TE |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.09% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.69% |
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