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Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
1 - 0
Debrecen

Christensen (30' pen.)
Serafimov (41'), Lucas Simut (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baranyai (24'), Blagojevic (25'), Ojediran (68')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Debrecen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MTK 0-2 Fehervar
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
FehervarDrawDebrecen
32.99% (0.151 0.15) 25.01% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08) 42% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.99% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (0.425 0.43)46.34% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (0.401 0.4)68.62% (-0.396 -0.4)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.30199999999999 0.3)26.91% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.39100000000001 0.39)62.23% (-0.386 -0.39)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (0.154 0.15)22.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (0.228 0.23)55.36% (-0.225 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 32.99%
    Debrecen 42%
    Draw 25.01%
FehervarDrawDebrecen
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: MTK 0-2 Fehervar
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 1-2 Fehervar
Wednesday, February 7 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 Fehervar
Saturday, February 3 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Fehervar 3-0 Paksi SE
Saturday, December 16 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Mezokovesdi 0-2 Fehervar
Sunday, December 10 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Fehervar 3-1 Puskas Academy
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ujpest 1-2 Debrecen
Tuesday, February 6 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Debrecen 2-2 Diosgyor
Saturday, February 3 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 1-1 Debrecen
Sunday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 2-1 Debrecen
Saturday, December 9 at 12.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 0-0 Debrecen
Saturday, December 2 at 6.30pm in Hungarian NB I


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