SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Debrecen |
31% ( -1.11) | 25.36% ( 0.39) | 43.64% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% ( -2.13) | 48.57% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% ( -1.97) | 70.69% ( 1.97) |
| Zalaegerszegi TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -1.78) | 29.29% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -2.24) | 65.26% ( 2.24) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.57) | 22.21% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% ( -0.86) | 55.63% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Debrecen |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.64% |
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