Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Diosgyor would win this match.
Result | ||
Diosgyor | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
47.83% ( -0.13) | 24.96% ( 0.04) | 27.21% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( -0.09) | 48.89% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.01% ( -0.09) | 70.98% ( 0.08) |
Diosgyor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.09) | 20.47% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.14) | 52.95% ( 0.14) |
Kecskemeti TE Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.8% ( 0.02) | 32.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.31% ( 0.02) | 68.68% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Diosgyor | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.21% |
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